§ The Standings

The board.

Lower is better. Brier score is the square of how far off your probability was from the truth, summed across every resolved question. Forfeits and unsubmitted questions count as 0.25 each — neither rewarded nor catastrophically punished.

§ Most Improved

Best second-half average vs first-half. Positive delta = you closed the gap. The Most Improved winner gets co-naming rights next season + forfeit immunity, even if technically dead-last.

01
No Smokey
+0.054
delta
02
Fisherman
+0.031
delta
03
tstroup
+0.031
delta
04
Whitt1
+0.025
delta
05
Bitcoinsnowflake
+0.006
delta
06
No_This_Is_Patrick
-0.001
delta
07
Rotraded
-0.016
delta
08
Daniel
-0.025
delta
09
Abomarok
-0.026
delta
10
Obi
-0.043
delta
11
Dave
-0.048
delta
12
Brasus
-0.054
delta
est. 2026 · ten weeks · ten questions

“The number you submit is yours. The math is just keeping score.”

Calibrate or perish.
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