Rotraded

Will the New York Knicks win Game 1 of the NBA Finals (Wed June 3)?

Will the May 2026 U.S. jobs report (released Fri June 5, 8:30am ET) show nonfarm payrolls above 150,000?

Will Masters of the Universe outgross Scary Movie 6 in opening weekend domestic box office (June 5-7)?

Will Bitcoin close above $77,000 on Friday June 5 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the higher-ATP-ranked player win the French Open Men's Singles Final (Sun June 7)?

Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday June 5 than its open on Monday June 1?

Will the home team win Game 1 of the NHL Stanley Cup Final (Tue June 2)?

Will at least 5 MLB games go to extra innings between June 1 and June 7 (inclusive)?

Will the AAA national average price of regular gasoline be above $3.50/gallon on Sunday June 7?

Will Phoenix, AZ record a high of 110°F or higher on any day between June 1 and June 7?

Will the New York Knicks win Game 4 of the NBA Finals vs San Antonio (Wed June 10)?

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final vs Carolina (Tue June 9)?

Will Bitcoin close above $65,000 on Friday June 12 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday June 12 than its open on Monday June 8?

Will the May 2026 U.S. CPI report (released Wed June 10, 8:30am ET) show year-over-year inflation of 4.0% or higher?

Will U.S. initial jobless claims (released Thu June 11) come in higher than the prior week's revised figure?

Will 'Scary Movie 6' finish #1 at the U.S. domestic box office for the weekend of June 12-14?

Will any MLB team score 15 or more runs in a single game between June 8 and June 14 (inclusive)?

Will Phoenix, AZ record a high temperature of 110F or higher on any day between June 8 and June 14?

Will New York City (Central Park) reach a high of 90F or higher on any day between June 8 and June 14?

Will any MLB team score 15 or more runs in a single game between June 16 and June 21 (inclusive)?

Will any MLB pitcher throw a no-hitter between June 16 and June 21 (inclusive)?

Will Bitcoin close above $65,000 on Friday June 19 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday June 19 than its open on Monday June 15? (Resolution note: NYSE is closed Friday June 19 for Juneteenth — there is no June 19 close, so this resolves on the week's last actual close, Thursday June 18, vs Monday June 15's open.)

Will the Federal Reserve leave its target interest rate unchanged at the June 17 FOMC decision?

Will U.S. initial jobless claims (released Thursday June 18) come in higher than the prior week's figure?

Will 'Disclosure Day' finish #1 at the U.S. domestic box office for the weekend of June 19-21?

Will Phoenix, AZ record a high temperature of 115F or higher on any day between June 15 and June 21?

Will New York City (Central Park) reach a high of 90F or higher on any day between June 15 and June 21?

Will an Atlantic tropical storm or hurricane be named between June 15 and June 21?

Will the United States win their World Cup group-stage match against Türkiye on Thursday June 25?

Will Argentina beat Jordan in their World Cup group-stage match on Saturday June 27?

Will Bitcoin close above $65,000 on Friday June 26 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday June 26 than its open on Monday June 22?

Will the May 2026 U.S. PCE price index (released Thursday June 25, 8:30am ET) show headline inflation of 4.0% or higher year-over-year?

Will U.S. initial jobless claims (released Thursday June 25) come in higher than the prior week's revised figure?

Will 'Supergirl' finish #1 at the U.S. domestic box office for the weekend of June 26-28?

Will any MLB team score 15 or more runs in a single game between June 23 and June 28 (inclusive)?

Will Phoenix, AZ record a high temperature of 115F or higher on any day between June 23 and June 28?

Will New York City (Central Park) reach a high of 90F or higher on any day between June 23 and June 28?

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 match played on July 4 or July 5 be decided by a penalty shootout?

Will Jannik Sinner win his second-round match at Wimbledon (scheduled July 1-2)?

Will Bitcoin close above $60,000 on Friday July 3 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the S&P 500 close higher on Thursday July 2 than its open on Monday June 29?

Will the June 2026 U.S. jobs report (nonfarm payrolls, released Thursday July 2 at 8:30am ET) show payroll growth above 100,000?

Will U.S. initial jobless claims (released Thursday July 2) come in higher than the prior week's revised figure?

Will 'Young Washington' finish #1 at the U.S. domestic box office for the weekend of July 3-5?

Will any MLB team score 15 or more runs in a single game between July 1 and July 5 (inclusive)?

Will Phoenix, AZ (Sky Harbor) record a high temperature of 115F or higher on any day between July 1 and July 5?

Will the winner of the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest (men's, July 4) eat 70 or more hot dogs?

Will Jannik Sinner reach the 2026 Wimbledon men's singles final?

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal (played July 9-11) be decided by a penalty shootout?

Will Bitcoin close above $63,000 on Friday July 10 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 on Friday July 10, 2026?

Will U.S. initial jobless claims (released Thursday July 9) come in above 220,000?

Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield close at or above 4.50% on Friday July 10 (per the U.S. Treasury daily par yield curve)?

Will Phoenix, AZ (Sky Harbor) record a high temperature of 112F or higher on any day from July 7 to July 12 (inclusive)?

Will Disney's live-action 'Moana' finish #1 at the U.S. domestic box office for the weekend of July 10-12?

Will the United States men's national team beat Belgium in their World Cup Round of 16 match on July 6 (advancing to the quarterfinals)?

Will any MLB team score 15 or more runs in a single game between July 7 and July 12 (inclusive)?

Will France beat Spain in their World Cup semifinal on July 14 (advancing to the final; extra time and penalties count)?

Will Argentina beat England in their World Cup semifinal on July 15 (advancing to the final; extra time and penalties count)?

Will the 2026 World Cup final on Sunday July 19 be decided in regulation time (a winner without needing extra time)?

Will a Phillies player (Bryce Harper or Kyle Schwarber) win the Home Run Derby on Monday July 13?

Will the National League win the MLB All-Star Game on Tuesday July 14?

Will June CPI (released Tuesday July 14) come in at 4.0% or higher year-over-year (BLS headline, as first published)?

Will U.S. initial jobless claims (released Thursday July 16) come in above the prior week's initially-reported number?

Will Bitcoin close above $63,000 on Friday July 17 (Coinbase 5pm ET close)?

Will the S&P 500 close on Friday July 17 above its Monday July 13 opening level (official ^GSPC open)?

Will Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey gross $100 million or more domestically in its opening weekend (July 17-19, per Sunday studio estimates via Comscore/Box Office Mojo)?

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win their 3-game home series vs. the New York Yankees (July 24-26, Citizens Bank Park)? Resolves YES if the Phillies win at least 2 of the 3 games; a 2-1 or 3-0 Yankees result resolves NO. If fewer than 3 games are played, the series leader when the window closes wins (a 1-1 split resolves NO).

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 3M Open on the PGA Tour (TPC Twin Cities, final round Sunday July 26)? Resolves YES only if Scheffler is the outright champion or wins a playoff; any other finish resolves NO.

Will the winner of the Formula 1 Hungarian Grand Prix (Sunday July 26, Hungaroring) have started the race from grid position 1 (pole)? Resolves YES if the race winner also started 1st on the grid; NO otherwise.

Will Christopher Nolan's 'The Odyssey' finish #1 at the U.S. domestic box office on the July 24-26 weekend (its second weekend)? Resolves per Comscore weekend rankings (Sunday estimates / Monday actuals); any rank other than #1 resolves NO.

Will any MLB team score 15 or more runs in a single game between Tuesday July 21 and Sunday July 26, 2026 (inclusive)? Resolves YES if at least one team's final run total is 15+ in any regular-season MLB game in that window.

Will Bitcoin close ABOVE $64,000 on Friday July 24, 2026 (Coinbase BTC-USD, 5:00pm ET)? Resolves per the Coinbase BTC-USD price at 5:00pm ET on July 24; $64,000.00 or below resolves NO.

Will the S&P 500 (^GSPC) close on Friday July 24 ABOVE its Monday July 21 opening level? Resolves per official ^GSPC values (Fri Jul 24 close vs. Mon Jul 21 open); equal or below resolves NO.

Will U.S. initial jobless claims released Thursday July 23 (week ending July 18) come in ABOVE 208,000, the prior week's reported figure? Resolves per the DOL headline seasonally-adjusted initial-claims number as first released July 23; 208,000 or below resolves NO.

Will the FINAL July University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (released Friday July 25) come in ABOVE the 54.4 July preliminary reading? Resolves per the official final July release; 54.4 or below resolves NO.

Will Phoenix, Arizona reach 110F or higher on any day from Tuesday July 21 through Sunday July 26 (official NWS reading at Phoenix Sky Harbor, KPHX)? Resolves YES if the daily high is 110F+ on any day in the window per the KPHX daily climate report.

Will the winning score at the Rocket Classic (Detroit Golf Club, final round Sunday August 2) be 20-under-par or better? Resolves YES if the champion's 72-hole total is 20 strokes under par or lower (e.g. -20, -24), per the official PGA TOUR final leaderboard. If the tournament is shortened to fewer than 72 holes, resolves per the official winning score as declared by the PGA TOUR relative to the par for holes played.

Will the men's singles final at the DC Open (Washington, scheduled Sunday August 2) go to a deciding third set? Resolves YES if the final is decided in three sets. Resolves NO if it ends in straight sets, or if the match ends by retirement or walkover before a third set begins. If the final is not played before this week resolves, resolves NO.

Will any MLB game go 12 or more innings between Wednesday July 29 and Sunday August 2, 2026 (inclusive)? Resolves YES if at least one regular-season MLB game in that window records a completed 12th inning or beyond, per official box scores.

Will home teams win MORE THAN HALF of the MLB games completed on Saturday August 1, 2026? Resolves per official box scores for games completed on that calendar date. An exact 50/50 split resolves NO ('more than half' is strict). Suspended games count on the date they conclude. Neutral-site games, if any, are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.

Will Bitcoin close ABOVE $66,000 on Friday July 31, 2026 (Coinbase BTC-USD, 5:00pm ET)? Resolves per the Coinbase BTC-USD price at 5:00pm ET (21:00 UTC) on July 31; $66,000.00 or below resolves NO.

Will the S&P 500 (^GSPC) close HIGHER on Wednesday July 29 (FOMC decision day) than its Tuesday July 28 close? Resolves per official ^GSPC closing values; equal or lower resolves NO.

Will the FOMC RAISE the target range for the federal funds rate at its July 29, 2026 meeting? Resolves YES if the statement released at 2:00pm ET on July 29 sets a target range above the current 3.50%-3.75%. A hold at 3.50%-3.75% resolves NO. A cut resolves NO.

Will the ADVANCE estimate of Q2 2026 real GDP growth (released Thursday July 30, 8:30am ET) come in ABOVE 2.0% (seasonally adjusted annual rate)? Resolves per the BEA advance estimate headline figure as first released. Exactly 2.0% resolves NO. Later revisions do not change the resolution.

Will 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' gross MORE THAN $250 million domestically in its opening weekend (Friday July 31 - Sunday August 2)? Resolves per the Sunday estimates reported Sunday August 2 (Comscore / studio). Monday actuals are NOT used -- they publish after this week resolves. Exactly $250.0M resolves NO. This is a question about gross, not rank.

Will a named tropical storm or hurricane form in the Atlantic basin between Wednesday July 29 and Sunday August 2, 2026 (inclusive)? Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center assigns a name to a tropical or subtropical storm in the Atlantic basin (including the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf) during that window. Tropical depressions that are never named do not count.

Will the winning score at the Wyndham Championship (Sedgefield Country Club, final round Sunday August 9) be 20-under-par or better? Resolves YES if the champion's 72-hole total is 20 strokes under par or lower, per the official PGA TOUR final leaderboard. If the tournament is shortened to fewer than 72 holes, resolves per the official winning score as declared by the PGA TOUR relative to the par for holes played. Note: Sedgefield is a par 70.

Will the combined score in the NFL Hall of Fame Game (Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers, Thursday August 6, 8:00pm ET, Canton OH) be MORE THAN 30 points? Resolves per the official final NFL box score, both teams' points added together. Exactly 30 resolves NO. If the game is shortened by weather or any other cause, resolves per the official final score as declared by the NFL. If the game is not played at all before this week resolves, resolves NO.

Will any MLB game feature 20 or more combined runs (both teams added together) between Wednesday August 5 and Sunday August 9, 2026 (inclusive)? Resolves YES if at least one regular-season MLB game in that window finishes with the two teams' runs totalling 20 or more, per official box scores.

Will the New York Yankees win the series against the Atlanta Braves (3 games, Friday August 7 - Sunday August 9, at Yankee Stadium)? Resolves YES if the Yankees win 2 or more of the 3 scheduled games, per official box scores. If any game is postponed and not completed before this week resolves, resolution is based on the games actually completed in the window; a 1-1 split with the third game unplayed resolves NO, because the Yankees must have won the series and a tie is not a series win.

Will Brent crude (ICE front-month) settle BELOW $80.00 on Friday August 7, 2026? Resolves per the official ICE Brent front-month settlement price for August 7. Exactly $80.00 or above resolves NO.

Will the S&P 500 (^GSPC) close ABOVE 7600.00 on Friday August 7, 2026? Resolves per the official ^GSPC closing value for August 7. Exactly 7600.00 or below resolves NO.

Will the July 2026 unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, released Friday August 7, 8:30am ET) come in ABOVE 4.2%? Resolves per the BLS headline seasonally-adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for July 2026, as first released. Exactly 4.2% resolves NO. Later revisions do not change the resolution.

Will initial jobless claims released Thursday August 6, 2026 (week ending August 1) come in ABOVE 200,000? Resolves per the DOL headline seasonally-adjusted initial claims figure as first released. Exactly 200,000 resolves NO. Later revisions do not change the resolution.

Will 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' drop MORE THAN 60% in domestic box office from its first weekend to its second (Friday August 7 - Sunday August 9)? Resolves per the Sunday estimates reported Sunday August 9 (Comscore / studio), compared against the $355 million first-weekend figure reported on Sunday estimates August 2. Monday actuals are NOT used, for either weekend. A drop of exactly 60.0% resolves NO. A drop of more than 60% means a second weekend below $142.0M.

Will Phoenix (KPHX, Sky Harbor) reach 112F or higher on any day between Wednesday August 5 and Sunday August 9, 2026 (inclusive)? Resolves YES if the official NWS/NOAA daily maximum temperature at KPHX is 112F or higher on any of those five calendar dates, per NOAA daily summaries. 111F resolves NO.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the FedEx St. Jude Championship (TPC Southwind, Memphis, Thursday August 13 - Sunday August 16)? Resolves YES if Scheffler is the official champion per the PGA TOUR final leaderboard, including any playoff. If the event is shortened, resolves per the officially declared champion. If Scheffler withdraws or does not play, resolves NO.

Will any NFL preseason game played Thursday August 13 through Saturday August 15, 2026 (the 16-game full-slate weekend) finish with 60 or more combined points? Resolves YES if at least one game's final combined score (both teams added together) is 60 or higher, per official NFL box scores. A shortened game counts at its official final score; a canceled game simply does not count.

Will the Phillies beat the Twins in the MLB at Field of Dreams game (Dyersville, Iowa; Thursday August 13, 7:30pm ET; streamed on Netflix)? Resolves per the official MLB final score. If the game is postponed and not completed before this week resolves, resolves NO.

Will PSG beat Aston Villa in 90 minutes in the UEFA Super Cup (Wednesday August 12, Red Bull Arena, Salzburg)? Resolves YES only if PSG leads at the end of regulation (90 minutes plus stoppage time), per the official UEFA full-time score. A draw at full time resolves NO regardless of extra time or penalties. If the match is not played before this week resolves, resolves NO.

Will Bitcoin (Coinbase BTC-USD) trade ABOVE $66,000 at 5:00pm ET on Friday August 14, 2026? Resolves per the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at that time. Exactly $66,000.00 or below resolves NO.

Will the S&P 500 (^GSPC) set a new all-time record close on Friday August 14, 2026 — that is, close ABOVE 7,757.64, the record set Friday August 7? Resolves per the official ^GSPC closing value for August 14 only. Exactly 7,757.64 or below resolves NO. Closes earlier in the week do not count.

Will July 2026 headline CPI come in ABOVE 3.3% year-over-year (BLS release, Wednesday August 12, 8:30am ET)? Resolves per the BLS headline CPI-U 12-month percent change (not seasonally adjusted) as first released — YES means the published figure is 3.4% or higher. Exactly 3.3% resolves NO. Later revisions do not change the resolution.

Will initial jobless claims released Thursday August 13, 2026 (week ending August 8) come in BELOW 200,000 — a fourth consecutive sub-200K week? Resolves per the DOL headline seasonally-adjusted initial claims figure as first released. Exactly 200,000 resolves NO. Later revisions do not change the resolution.

Will any single car sell for $30 million or more (hammer price plus buyer's premium) at the Monterey Car Week auctions (Bonhams, Broad Arrow, RM Sotheby's, Mecum, Gooding & Christie's; Thursday August 13 - Saturday August 15)? Resolves YES if any lot's official all-in sale price reaches $30,000,000 or more, per the auction houses' published results and standard trade reporting (Hagerty / duPont Registry). Only completed sales count — a lot that fails to meet reserve does not count regardless of high bid.

Will Phoenix (KPHX, Sky Harbor) reach 108F or higher on any day between Wednesday August 12 and Sunday August 16, 2026 (inclusive)? Resolves YES if the official NWS daily maximum temperature at KPHX is 108F or higher on any of those five calendar dates, per the NWS Phoenix daily climate reports (NOAA daily summaries). 107F resolves NO. Note the window deliberately starts Wednesday — Monday and Tuesday highs do not count.