The week, scored.

NO. Michael Thorbjornsen won the Rocket Classic at 262, which is 18-under on a par-70 Detroit Golf Club, two clear of Xander Schauffele. The bar was 20-under or better. The trap: Detroit Golf Club played PAR 70 in 2026 for the first time (the 7th and 17th were converted from par 5s). Every pre-2026 winning score in the record book was made on a par 72, so -20 looked far more reachable than it actually was. The eight players who went above 65% here were all pricing history that no longer applies.

NO -- by the question's own written rule, not by a scoreline. Daylong rain and thunderstorms in Washington forced the DC Open to call off the men's singles final between Taylor Fritz and Rafael Jodar at roughly 9:10pm ET on Sunday August 2, rescheduling it for Monday afternoon August 3 behind the women's final resuming at noon. This week resolves Monday August 3 at 08:00 UTC, which is 4:00am ET -- so at resolution time not a third set but not even a first set had been played. The question states: 'If the final is not played before this week resolves, resolves NO.' That clause was written for exactly this contingency, so unlike q89 in Week 7 this is NOT a void. The rule was on the page before anyone submitted.

YES, and it was over on day one. Two games reached a completed 12th inning on Wednesday July 29: Baltimore 10 at Detroit 9, and the NY Yankees 5 at the Chicago White Sox 6. Per official MLB Stats API box scores. Across a five-day, 71-game window a 12-inning game is close to a coin-flip-free proposition; the field averaged 52% on something that has fired in the vast majority of comparable windows. Daniel at 20% and Luna at 30% were pricing a single game, not a five-day window.

YES, by one game. Of the 15 MLB games completed Saturday August 1, home teams won 8 and away teams won 7 -- 53.3%, strictly more than half. Per official box scores. This was the tightest question of the week: flip any one result and it is 7-8 and resolves NO. The field clustered 52-67% around a true base rate near 53%, which is honest pricing -- nobody should feel clever or robbed here.

NO, and not close. Coinbase BTC-USD printed 62,853.05 US dollars at 21:00 UTC (5:00pm ET) on Friday July 31, roughly 3,150 dollars below the 66,000 line. Bitcoin was at 65,158 when this question was authored on July 27 and traded down all week. Fisherman at 66% and Brasus at 57% were the only players on the wrong side of a move that was already underway.

NO. The S&P 500 closed 7316.15 on Wednesday July 29 against 7428.78 on Tuesday July 28 -- down 1.52%, the worst session since April 2025, with the Dow off about 1,100 points. An afternoon rebound failed and selling accelerated into the bell as the 10-year yield hit 4.66% and the 30-year topped 5.20% for the first time since 2007. The whole field sat between 42% and 62% on this one; it was correctly seen as a coin flip and it behaved like one until the last hour.

NO -- but the hawks showed up. The FOMC voted 9-3 to MAINTAIN the target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan all dissented in favor of a quarter-point hike, the most dissents on the committee in years. This is the question that named the week: a hawkish hold is still a hold, and the question asked only whether the range was RAISED. Reading the room correctly and answering a different question than the one on the page is the single most expensive habit in this tournament.

NO. The BEA advance estimate put Q2 2026 real GDP growth at +1.5% annualized, below the 2.0% threshold; Q1 was +2.1%. Consumer spending, investment and exports contributed while government spending fell. Of the public forecasts available at authoring, Atlanta Fed GDPNow at 1.7% was much closer than the Philadelphia Fed SPF at 2.1%. The nowcast beat the survey, which is the usual result and worth remembering.

YES, emphatically. 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' opened to an estimated 355 million dollars domestic on the Sunday August 2 estimates -- the second-biggest domestic opening ever, about 2 million short of Avengers: Endgame. It did 169.3 million Friday including previews, 101.5 million Saturday, with Sunday projected at 84 million. The 250 million bar was cleared by more than 40%. Tracking had climbed from 180-190 million to 260-300 million during authoring week, and even that was too low. Nobody in the field was above 80%.

NO. The National Hurricane Center named no Atlantic system between July 29 and August 2. The 2026 Atlantic season has produced exactly two named storms all year -- Arthur, named June 17, and Bertha, named July 21 and dissipated July 24 -- and the basin was quiet through the entire window. Per NHC ATCF best-track data: only bal012026 and bal022026 exist, there is no bal03. The NHC's July 27 outlook had already said formation was not expected in the next 7 days, and the field mostly respected that; Obi at 1% and tstroup at 1% were the sharpest reads on the board this week.